What you get
Model probabilities, not just a forecast.
Best model per city
We score the exact settlement station and tell you which of 19 models has been most accurate there — misses shown.
Bin odds
A probability for each whole-degree bin, so you can price every outcome, not just the favourite.
Model vs market gap
Our probability minus the live Polymarket / Kalshi price — a descriptive gap, ranked by expected value. Analytics, not advice.
Every market, everywhere
Every Polymarket & Kalshi temperature market — and any prediction market — including the small and niche ones, international cities too. None skipped, with the full track record — misses shown.
Model vs market gap
Where model and market differ today.
Sample data. Our bin probabilities vs the live market, ranked by expected value. Analytics, not advice.
Sample data — Model vs market gap
| City | Bin | Our odds | Market | Gap | EV / $1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago · High | 7°C | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 |
| Amsterdam · High | 15°C | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 |
| Warsaw · Low | 2°C | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 |
Sample data — real edges update live in the app once the market websocket is wired.
Start free
See which model wins your city.
The scoreboard is free. Add edges, bin odds and alerts with Pro.
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