The best model is a different model in every city.
We publish the exact settlement station and which of 19 models wins each city — graded in the open, misses shown. The public track record is being built; per-city hit rates appear once it exists.
City scoreboard — 1 day ahead
Record start date: to be announced
City-by-city hit rates are not shown until the new, hash-sealed record has run. Any figure shown before then is clearly labeled Sample data and does not count toward a claim.
Built for prediction-market traders.
The same measured forecasts behind every number — turned into the three things you actually trade on, across every Polymarket & Kalshi temperature market.
Which model to trust
We score the exact settlement station and tell you which of 19 models wins each city — misses shown.
Odds for every bin
A probability for each whole-degree temperature bin, so you price every outcome — not just the favourite.
Where the price is wrong
Our odds minus the live Polymarket / Kalshi price, ranked by expected value — the mispriced markets surface first.
Everyone shows their wins. We show the misses too.
Other tools quote one headline accuracy and stop. We publish every city, every model, graded in the open — including the ones we're bad at, like Denver. A desk sees exactly where the signal is strong before paying a cent.
That's the whole pitch: a track record you can check, not a claim you have to trust.
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